Logical ReasoningDifficulty: Hard

PT104 S1 Q23 Explanation

Research indicates that 90 percent

A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Logical Reasoning question.

TopicsFlaw

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Stimulus

Research indicates that 90 percent of extreme insomniacs consume a large amount of coffee. Since Tom drinks a lot of coffee, it is is an extreme insomniac.

What this question is testing

Flaw

Your task

Describe the reasoning error the argument actually commits.

Common trap

Answers that name a real logical flaw the argument doesn't actually make.

Winning move

Articulate the gap in the reasoning yourself, then match it to the choice that describes that gap.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
23.

Which one of the following most accurately describes a flaw in the

Answer choices

  1. Doesn't Fail to Consider12% picked this

    It fails to acknowledge the possibility that Tom is among the 10 percent of people who drink large amounts of coffee

    The author acknowledges this possibility by saying "Tom is quite likely an extreme insomniac". If the author had concluded, "thus Tom is definitely an extreme insomniac", then she would be failing to acknowledge that a 90% statistic (even if misread, as the author is doing) would not prove certainty.

  2. Out of Scope: causes7% picked this

    It fails to consider the possible contribution to extreme insomnia of other causes of

    Nothing in this argument is saying that anything caused something else, so we wouldn't be able to weaken the argument by bringing up alternate causes. This argument is only talking about people who are / aren't a certain thing, or who do / don't do a certain thing.

  3. Correct44% picked this

    It relies on evidence that does not indicate the frequency of extreme insomnia among people who drink

    Why this is right

    This is pointing out the fact that the statistic the author cites is useless to the argument she's trying to make. If we're saying, Tom drinks coffee. Thus he's probably an insomniac. We need to know that Most coffee drinkers are insomniacs. In order for us to assess the likelihood that Tom is an extreme insomniac, based on the fact that he drinks a lot of coffee, then we need to know, "What % of big coffee drinkers are extreme insomniacs". (Instead, the author uselessly brought up what % of extreme insomniacs are big coffee drinkers) This answer choice is just complaining that the author didn't provide us with the actual statistic that we'd need to evaluate the conclusion (or that she would need to prove the conclusion). If you want to try a similar problem, try this one.

    Skill tested: Flaw · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

  4. Wrong Flaw: not Part v. Whole30% picked this

    It draws an inference about one specific individual from evidence that describes only the characteristics of

    If a flaw answer choice says the author inferred X from evidence that Y, we would ask ourselves if Y matches the Evidence and if X matches the Conclusion (or some assumption en route to the conclusion). Was the conclusion "an inference about one specific individual"? Sure, it was about Tom. Was the evidence describing only the characteristics of a class of individuals? No, not quite. First of all, there are two premises, and one of them is just about Tom (he drinks a lot of coffee). That would already make us doubt this answer. It's also tough to say that "90% of extreme insomniacs consume a large amount of coffee" is describing the characteristics of a class of individuals. It's describing a characteristic about 90% of a class of individuals. One final issue is that it's not inherently objectionable to draw an inference about a specific individual from evidence that describes the characteristics of a class. i.e., if the argument had been "All big coffee drinkers are insomniacs. Tom drinks coffee. Thus, Tom is an insomniac", that would be an airtight argument and this answer choice would still be applicable.

  5. Too Strong6% picked this

    It presumes without warrant that drinking coffee always

    Too Strong: always Out of Scope: causal Nothing about this argument is causal, so the author didn't need to make any assumption about anything causing other stuff. She certainly didn't need to make any extreme assumption that drinking coffee always causes insomnia.

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