Logical Reasoning

PT102 · S3 · Q3 In a recession, a decrease in consumer

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In a recession, a decrease in consumer spending causes many businesses to lay off workers or even to close.

Statements

We're reading for Conditional, Causal, Mathematical, or Pivot wording, and we see a lot of Causal wording here. We might want to be assembling a Causal Chain

In a recession less consumer spending (causes) many businesses lay off or close down workers can't find new job (resulting in) increased number of jobless people

Meanwhile, what gets us out of the recession?

more consumer spending expanded business activity (creates) new need for more workers recovery from recession has begun

Finally, in the last sentence, we have a pivot, But.

Most Supported paragraphs frequently provide correct answers that Reconcile the Pivot; i.e. the correct answer safely synthesizes the tension the Pivot idea creates with what came before.

We learn that businesses usually are too scared of a post-recession economy and delay hiring additional workers as long as possible.

Evaluate

How does this last idea combine with what else we were told? It seems like as we're trying to get out of a recession, we might start spending money, creating more business activity, and creating the potential need to hire new workers, but businesspeople will drag their feet doing so, wanting to make sure they can be confident enough in the economy to invest in hiring new workers.

Goal

Look for an answer that rewards us for understanding any subset of those Causal Chains, or an answer that gives us a safely worded synthesis of the last idea with the previous sentence about recovery from a recession.

3.

The statements above, if true, provide most support for which one of the following conclusions?

  1. Recessions are usually caused by

    Too Strong: usually

    We never talk about anything that causes a recession, only the effects of a recession, and the causes of what brings us out of a recession. So we have no way to speculate what causes 51% or more (usually) of recessions.

    5% picked this

  2. Governmental intervention is required in

    Too Strong: required

    The author doesn't say anything that would allow us to say that an economy can't recover from a recession without governmental intervention.

    2% picked this

  3. Employees of businesses that close

    Too Strong: majority

    We have no way to quantify whether 51% or more of unemployed workers during a recession came from companies that had to close. It's possible that the majority of unemployed workers came from companies that didn't close but laid off some of their workforce.

    7% picked this

  4. Correct

    Sometimes recovery from a recession

    Why this is right

    We definitely are very attracted to how weak the language is (sometimes / does not promptly). This answer is doing the ol' Reconcile the Pivot, giving us a safe takeaway that combines the idea after the But with the stuff before it. Because businesspeople delay hiring additional workers as long as possible after a recession, we can say that sometimes we don't promptly get a decrease in the number of people who are jobless.

    Skill tested: Most Supported · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    85% picked this

  5. Workers who lose their jobs

    Too Strong: equally good

    We don't have any way to support such an extreme comparison that the jobs workers get after a recession are usually equally good.

    0% picked this

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