Logical Reasoning

PT102 · S2 · Q20 Physicist: Determinism is the view

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Physicist: Determinism is the view that every event has a preceding cause sufficient for its occurrence.

Conclusion

Determinism is false. rephrase: some events that are presently occurring didn't have to happen. They could have failed to occur. They were not caused by the preceding state of the universe, a moment ago.

Intermediate Conclusion (because)

It's impossible to know the compete state of the universe at any given moment.

Evidence (since)

It's impossible to measure accurately both the position and velocity of any given subatomic particle at a particular time.

Evaluate

(If you want to sound super cool around your friends, that final premise is known as the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle in quantum mechanics.)

The missing link from the Premise to the Intermediate Conclusion is that .

The author is assuming that, in order to know the complete state of the universe, you need to know the position and velocity of all subatomic particles at any particular time.

Maybe that's not the case; maybe it counts as knowing the complete state as long as we can say the probability of each particle having a certain position or velocity. But overall, it's unlikely that they're testing us on that move.

So let's focus on the move from Intermediate Conclusion to Main Conclusion: .

We can think,

Determinism is the idea that every event is caused by previous events. Each new complete state of the universe is a necessary result of the previous complete state of the universe.

What does the premise have to do with the conclusion? Whether or not we know what the complete state of the universe is at any given moment doesn't tell us anything about whether there is a complete state at that moment.

Goal

Look for an answer saying something like,

20.

The physicist's reasoning is most vulnerable to criticism on which one of the following grounds?

  1. That it is impossible to

    Bad Conclusion Match

    This answer is structured like this: That X is true does not imply that Y is true We're always objecting that, "the fact the evidence is true does not imply/prove the conclusion". Does the evidence match X and the conclusion match Y? Yes, the evidence was saying "it's impossible measure both the position and velocity of any given subatomic particle". But, no, the conclusion wasn't saying "it's impossible to know the position or velocity of all subatomic particles". The conclusion was saying, "It's not the case that every event has a preceding cause sufficient for its occurrence / events presently occurring could have failed to occur given the state of the universe a moment ago".

    6% picked this

  2. That the complete state of

    Premise / Conclusion Reversed

    This answer is also structured like this: That X is true does not imply that Y is true So we want to know, does the evidence match X and the conclusion match Y? Did the evidence say "the complete state of the universe at any given time is unknowable"? Yes, the Intermediate Conclusion said that, and it is evidence for the Main Conclusion. Did the Main Conclusion say "the states of the individual subatomic particles making it up are unknowable". No. The premise was saying something like that. This answer essentially is saying, "The fact that the intermediate conclusion is true doesn't imply that the premise is true". That would never be an objection we would make. We only care whether premises imply conclusions, not whether conclusions imply premises.

    14% picked this

  3. That it is impossible to

    Bad Conclusion Match

    This answer is also structured like this: That X is true does not imply that Y is true So we want to know, does the evidence match X and the conclusion match Y? Did the evidence say "it's impossible to measure both position and velocity at a particular time"? Yes, that's the premise. Did the author use that to support a Conclusion that says, "position or velocity cannot be measured separately"? No. The author used it to support the conclusion that says, "It's impossible to know the complete state of the universe at any given time."

    13% picked this

  4. Correct

    That it is impossible to

    Why this is right

    This answer is also structured like this: That X is true does not imply that Y is true So we want to know, does the evidence match X and the conclusion match Y? Did the evidence say "it's impossible to know the complete state of the universe at any given time?" Yes, that's the Intermediate Conclusion.. Did the author use that to support a Conclusion that says or assumes, "there is no complete state of the universe at a given time". Sigh. Yes, kind of? Determinism is based on the idea that the complete state of the universe at moment X determines the complete state of the universe at moment Y. The author is trying to refute this idea by saying, "How could that be true? After all, it's impossible for us to know the complete state of the universe at moment X" And this answer is saying, "Sure, it's impossible for us to know the complete state, but there still is a complete state. Our lack of knowing it doesn't prove it doesn't exist. So determinism could still be correct." This answer is written in a frustrating style that is pretty hard to hear as correct if you haven't already thought through your objection to the argument. If you want to see a similar example, try this one.

    Skill tested: Flaw · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    63% picked this

  5. That the position and velocity

    Bad Conclusion Match

    This answer is also structured like this: That X is true does not imply that Y is true So we want to know, does the evidence match X and the conclusion match Y? Did the evidence say "it's impossible to measure both the position and the velocity of a particle at a particular time"? Yes, that's the premise. Did the author think that idea implied that "it's impossible to accurately measure the position and velocity of all particles at a particular time"? No. The author used it to support the conclusion that says, "It's impossible to know the complete state of the universe at any given time." But in addition to this answer not matching the reasoning move the author made, the reasoning move this answer describes doesn't sound bad. If we say, "It's impossible to know whether any particular M&M has rat poison in it", then it's it fair to say, "Thus it's impossible, for all M&M's, to know whether they have rat poison in them"? It sounds like a self-justifying truth, but either way it's not a reasoning move our author made.

    5% picked this

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