The play Mankind must have been written between 1431 and 1471.
Conclusion
Mankind must have been written between 1431 and 1471.
Intermediate Conclusion
It can't have been written before 1431.
Evidence (for)
The rose noble is a coin mentioned in the play, and it was first circulated in 1431.
Intermediate Conclusion
The play can't have been written after 1471.
Evidence (since)
King Henry is mentioned as a living monarch in the play's dedication, and he died in 1471.
Evaluate
This argument tries to box us into a 1431 - 1471 timeframe, so if we're going to fight this conclusion, we'll need to either argue that the play could have been written before 1431 or argue that it could have been written after 1471.
Given that ... the rose noble is mentioned in the play and the rose noble wasn't first circulated until 1431,
How could we argue that ... the play was written before 1431?
We could say that the play was mostly written prior to 1431, let's say 99% of it was written in 1429 and then they just added the line about the rose noble in 1431.
Or maybe the play was written in 1429 and the playwright invented the name "rose noble". Then the play was so successful that when the government needed to choose a name for its new currency in 1431, they picked "rose noble" as an homage to the beloved work.
Given that ... Henry VI is mentioned as a living monarch in the play's dedication, but he died in 1471,
How could we argue that ... the play was written after 1471?
I guess we could say the play's dedication was being facetious? The play was written in 1475, and even though Henry VI died in 1471, the playwright felt like he was "still living" in the people's hearts? That's a stretch.