A fourteen-year study of finches on the Galapagos islands concluded that there is a definite relationship between climate and the population size of finch species that thrive at various times. During droughts, more members of large finch species survive because their bills are large enough to crack large, hard seeds, giving them of small seeds to meet their energy demands, and some just cannot eat them fast enough.
What this question is testing
Conclusion
The argument is trying to show that climate (drought vs. rain) is what drives the difference in survival rates between small and large finches.
Evidence
The drought story is clean: droughts produce big hard seeds, large finches can crack them, small finches can't — large finches win. The rainy-year story is also offered: rain encourages small-seed plants, large finches can't eat enough small seeds fast enough, small finches win.
Evaluate
Here's the gap. The rainy-year explanation only works if large finches also lose their normal food during rainy years — i.e., the supply of large, hard seeds drops. If it doesn't, the large finches just keep eating their usual large seeds and don't need to switch to inefficient small-seed feeding.
So the argument has a hidden assumption: rainy weather doesn't just add small seeds — it also reduces large/hard seeds.
Negation test: imagine rainy weather adds small seeds without reducing large/hard seeds. Then large finches still have their preferred food. They wouldn't need to switch to small seeds, wouldn't struggle, and the rainy-year survival drop wouldn't happen. The conclusion that climate causes the survival difference falls apart.
Goal
Pick the answer that says rainy weather reduces the supply of large, hard seeds.
Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.