Logical ReasoningDifficulty: Medium

PT1 S4 Q22 Explanation

A fourteen-year study of finches

A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Logical Reasoning question.

TopicsNecessary Assumption

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Full official LSAT questions are available through LawHub. This page provides LSAT Lab's explanation, strategy, and review tools without republishing the full official question.

Stimulus

A fourteen-year study of finches on the Galapagos islands concluded that there is a definite relationship between climate and the population size of finch species that thrive at various times. During droughts, more members of large finch species survive because their bills are large enough to crack large, hard seeds, giving them of small seeds to meet their energy demands, and some just cannot eat them fast enough.

What this question is testing

Necessary Assumption

Conclusion

The argument is trying to show that climate (drought vs. rain) is what drives the difference in survival rates between small and large finches.

Evidence

The drought story is clean: droughts produce big hard seeds, large finches can crack them, small finches can't — large finches win. The rainy-year story is also offered: rain encourages small-seed plants, large finches can't eat enough small seeds fast enough, small finches win.

Evaluate

Here's the gap. The rainy-year explanation only works if large finches also lose their normal food during rainy years — i.e., the supply of large, hard seeds drops. If it doesn't, the large finches just keep eating their usual large seeds and don't need to switch to inefficient small-seed feeding.

So the argument has a hidden assumption: rainy weather doesn't just add small seeds — it also reduces large/hard seeds.

Negation test: imagine rainy weather adds small seeds without reducing large/hard seeds. Then large finches still have their preferred food. They wouldn't need to switch to small seeds, wouldn't struggle, and the rainy-year survival drop wouldn't happen. The conclusion that climate causes the survival difference falls apart.

Goal

Pick the answer that says rainy weather reduces the supply of large, hard seeds.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
22.

Which one of the following must be assumed in order to justify the conclusion that climatic variations cause a major difference in survival rates

Answer choices

  1. Bad Assumption4% picked this

    During drought conditions, the weather promotes the growth of plants that produce

    The passage says droughts produce large, hard seeds, not small hard seeds. This answer would actually undermine the drought story — if drought weather produces small hard seeds, that doesn't explain why large finches with big bills have a food advantage during droughts. Negation test: if drought weather doesn't produce small hard seeds, the argument is unaffected.

  2. Correct73% picked this

    A lengthy period of rainy weather results in fewer large, hard

    Why this is right

    This is the assumption the argument needs. The rainy-year story explains why large finches struggle: small seeds are abundant, but large finches can't eat them fast enough to meet their energy demands. That story only delivers a survival drop if large finches no longer have access to their normal food (large, hard seeds). Negation test: if rainy weather does not reduce large/hard seed production, large finches just keep eating their usual food, never have to switch to inefficient small-seed feeding, and the rainy-year survival drop doesn't happen. The conclusion that climate causes the survival differential collapses.

    Skill tested: Necessary Assumption · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

  3. Bad Assumption7% picked this

    In rainy periods, the small finches gather enough food to grow much larger and heavier, but their ultimate size is limited by their

    The argument doesn't need small finches to grow larger in rainy years. The argument is about survival rates, not about size changes. Negation test: even if small finches don't grow larger or heavier in rainy years, the conclusion (that climate drives survival differentials) still goes through.

  4. Bad Assumption9% picked this

    The Galapagos climate during this fourteen-year period had about as much dry weather as it

    The argument doesn't need the climate to be balanced between dry and wet. It only needs both kinds of weather to occur and to produce the described effects on survival. Negation test: even if the 14-year period had much more dry weather than wet, the survival differentials in each kind of year would still exist, and the conclusion still goes through.

  5. Bad Assumption7% picked this

    Small seeds do not have to be cracked open in order to be digested by any

    The argument doesn't require small seeds to be edible without cracking. Even if all finches need to crack small seeds to digest them, the rainy-year story still works: small finches can crack small seeds easily, large finches struggle to consume enough. Negation test: even if some seeds need to be cracked, the survival differential the argument predicts can still hold.

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